Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Oxford
32.8%
Draw
36.8%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Oxford
vs
1.07
Swansea
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).