Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Fleetwood Town
24.9%
Draw
27.6%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.99
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).