Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.5%
Montpellier
11.7%
Draw
80.8%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Montpellier
vs
2.91
Marseille
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
0-4
7.4%
1-4
5.8%
1-1
5.4%
0-5
4.3%
1-5
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).