Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Brackley Town
28.3%
Draw
25.7%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Brackley Town
vs
1.04
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).