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27 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.0%
Sunderland
21.9%
Draw
23.1%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Sunderland

vs
1.01

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).