Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.0%
Marseille
6.7%
Draw
3.3%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.61
Marseille
vs
0.63
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.3%
4-0
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
5-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-1
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
3.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).