Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.6%
Wigan
19.6%
Draw
73.8%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Wigan
vs
2.00
Leeds
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.3%
0-1
16.6%
0-3
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
0-5
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).