Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Luton
26.2%
Draw
34.2%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Luton
vs
1.09
Stockport
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
0-1
12.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).