Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Altrincham
28.6%
Draw
34.2%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Altrincham
vs
1.26
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).