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11 Aug 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Genk
22.0%
Draw
50.4%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Genk

vs
2.05

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS67.8%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
3-2
3.3%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).