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19 Aug 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.4%
AGF
15.3%
Draw
9.3%
Vejle Boldklub

Expected Goals (xG)

2.78

AGF

vs
0.93

Vejle Boldklub

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
5-0
3.4%
5-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).