Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.4%
Hamburg
10.7%
Draw
4.9%
Osnabruck
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Hamburg
vs
0.77
Osnabruck
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.577.1%
Over 3.557.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
4-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-0
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
4.3%
3-2
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).