Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Kilmarnock
26.3%
Draw
27.1%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Kilmarnock
vs
1.14
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).