Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Cittadella
32.0%
Draw
30.6%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cittadella
vs
1.01
Avellino
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).