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AHT: 01CSV

20 Sept 2024 · 17:30

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.4%
Cagliari
25.6%
Draw
25.0%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Cagliari

vs
0.98

Empoli

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).