Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Ibiza
30.6%
Draw
24.6%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Ibiza
vs
0.77
Lugo
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).