Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Malaga
29.9%
Draw
27.8%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Malaga
vs
0.88
Eibar
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).