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DHT: 01CSV

26 Sept 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Barrow
34.5%
Draw
21.4%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Barrow

vs
0.67

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS33.2%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.553.1%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.5%
1-0
17.8%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).