Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Oldham
27.0%
Draw
22.2%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Oldham
vs
0.79
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).