Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
FC Koln
20.2%
Draw
22.3%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
FC Koln
vs
1.49
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS71.0%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
2-3
3.2%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).