Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Santander
16.4%
Draw
12.8%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Santander
vs
1.00
Eldense
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).