Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Espanol
25.9%
Draw
30.0%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Espanol
vs
1.23
Girona
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).