Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Monza
24.5%
Draw
51.1%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Monza
vs
1.61
Torino
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).