Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Forest Green
23.5%
Draw
18.1%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Forest Green
vs
0.99
Sutton
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).