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16 Jul 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Fredrikstad
20.5%
Draw
63.9%
Bodø / Glimt

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Fredrikstad

vs
2.01

Bodø / Glimt

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).