Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.5%
Valladolid
14.2%
Draw
79.3%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Valladolid
vs
2.53
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.0%
0-3
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-3
7.1%
1-1
6.7%
0-0
4.5%
1-4
4.5%
0-5
3.8%
2-2
2.5%
1-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).