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02 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.2%
Ipswich
10.9%
Draw
4.9%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

2.66

Ipswich

vs
0.47

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS34.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.5%
3-0
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
4-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
1-1
5.0%
5-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).