Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Blackburn
34.2%
Draw
33.6%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Blackburn
vs
0.96
Stoke
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).