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DHT: 11CSV

28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.3%
Schalke 04
27.3%
Draw
44.4%
M'gladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Schalke 04

vs
1.52

M'gladbach

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).