Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Betis
23.4%
Draw
52.7%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Betis
vs
1.86
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).