Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Norwich
26.5%
Draw
36.3%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Norwich
vs
1.44
Southampton
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).