Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Molde
19.6%
Draw
17.6%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Molde
vs
1.07
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).