Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Castellon
14.1%
Draw
6.3%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Castellon
vs
0.54
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
6.6%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).