Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Nacional
22.6%
Draw
15.8%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Nacional
vs
0.72
Boavista
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).