Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Middlesbrough
20.8%
Draw
11.3%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Middlesbrough
vs
0.72
Reading
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).