Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Sampdoria
29.8%
Draw
48.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Sampdoria
vs
1.40
Parma
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).