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HHT: 22CSV

30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Granada
27.3%
Draw
35.2%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Granada

vs
1.24

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).