Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Barnsley
17.4%
Draw
21.0%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Barnsley
vs
1.38
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS67.9%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.553.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
0-1
3.6%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).