Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Bolton
22.2%
Draw
19.0%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Bolton
vs
0.82
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).