Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.3%
Lens
8.2%
Draw
4.5%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
Lens
vs
0.71
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
4-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-0
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
3.7%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).