Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Ath Madrid
20.2%
Draw
11.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Ath Madrid
vs
0.67
Leganes
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).