Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Marseille
19.7%
Draw
14.3%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Marseille
vs
0.76
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).