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AHT: 02CSV

17 Jan 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.1%
Solihull
21.5%
Draw
26.4%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

2.24

Solihull

vs
1.58

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS71.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).