Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Denizlispor
33.4%
Draw
24.3%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Denizlispor
vs
1.02
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.9%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).