Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Alton
31.3%
Draw
35.7%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Alton
vs
0.96
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.512.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
0-0
15.0%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).