Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.8%
Aris
6.7%
Draw
3.5%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.88
Aris
vs
0.78
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.6%
Over 2.584.3%
Over 3.568.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
4-0
9.0%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
4-1
7.0%
5-0
7.0%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
5.4%
1-0
3.8%
3-2
2.8%
1-1
2.8%
4-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).