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21 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Blackpool
25.6%
Draw
51.0%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Blackpool

vs
1.37

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).