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AHT: 11

07 Feb 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Andorra
24.8%
Draw
36.8%
Sociedad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Andorra

vs
1.40

Sociedad

Markets

BTTS57.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).