Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Hartlepool
24.8%
Draw
15.1%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Hartlepool
vs
0.77
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).