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27 Feb 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.0%
Palermo
23.7%
Draw
14.3%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Palermo

vs
0.80

Ternana

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).